Just a quick follow on a post yesterday
that looked at the next big deal in the VOIP space. By stepping back
and taking a look at the Web landscape, does it seem that unreasonable
for a Google or a Yahoo to go after eBay, or a Microsoft to acquire
Google or IAC/InterActive Corp.?
Yes, these would be mega-billion dollar deals - a Google-eBay merger,
for example, would be worth at least $140 billion. But they're not
unrealistic given we're at the cusp of Web 2.0 of the New New Web where
lucrative business models such as pay-per-click have emerged and it has
become obvious there are tremendous profits to be made from offering
Web-based services and content to consumers around the world. Perhaps
this is the
opportunity to establish a huge foothold in Web 2.0. Look at Google:
for all of its dominance of the search market, it's still a one-trick
pony. There's little doubt it can ride this pony for a long, long time
but what happens when the growth of the pay-per-click markets starts to
slow - much like eBay has apparently realized the prospects for its
flagship auction business are not as bright. With an $80-billion market
cap and $6-billion in cash if its secondary offering is completed,
Google has the financial muscle to do pretty much anything it wants.
You can bet there are few investment bankers running around trying to
sell this vision. Stay tuned!
Update: According to Bloomberg News, Merrill Lynch analyst Luaren Rich Fine believes Google could acquire AOL.
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Dot-com M&A: New but Different
by
Mark Evans
on Wed 14 Sep 2005 08:10 AM EDT | Permanent Link
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