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Troubled Sunday Morning Thoughts About Nortel
by
Mark Evans
on Sun 14 Aug 2005 08:18 AM EDT | Permanent Link
For whatever reason, I've been spending a little time this week taking a closer look at Nortel's 10-Q filing. While most investors bubbled over with enthusiasm about the second-quarter results, they were nowhere near as good as advertised or reported by the media. As a starting point, let's take a looking at operating income, which fell to $49-million from $94-million in Q2 2004. While Nortel can point to a $90-million special charge this year as the culprit, its 2004 Q2 results were buoyed by a $75-million gain. So what happened this year that reduced operating income even though Nortel sold $240-million more of equipment? The most obvious issue was SG&A, which climbed from a year earlier. Moving on to net income, Nortel said it made $45-million compared with $16-million in Q2 2004. Again, this looks great at first glance but a little scrutiny reveals a major boost was $58-million of "other income", which came from sources such as interest income and the gain from the sale of an investment. These aren't operating items that suggest a better bottom line performance. While you have to respect Nortel's accountants from working on cleaning up the books over the past 18 months, there appears to either be a little creative accounting going on or a nice PR job of spinning a story of much higher profits when, in fact, the opposite was true. Nortel was not as profitable in Q2 2005 as it was last year amid an expanding accounting scandal that cost CEO Frank Dunn and CFO Doug Beatty their jobs. For all the gushing about Nortel's return to stability, investors have less reason to be optimistic about the company's future. Nortel still has major strategic challenges and some serious holes in its technology portfolio. By the way, did anyone notice there has been little discussion by Nortel recently about its Neptune router? For investors to get so enthusiastically back on the bandwagon last week in light of the "good" Q2 results is a huge leap of faith. Take a look at the numbers and you'll see a different picture painted.
Comments
Re: Troubled Sunday Morning Thoughts About Nortel
by
Anonymous
on Sun 14 Aug 2005 02:45 PM EDT | Permanent Link
I was troubled this morning because we ran out of coffee cream. Mark, you're on vacation -- you're troubled if Nortel is making you troubled on a Sunday morning.
Re: Troubled Sunday Morning Thoughts About Nortel
by
Ronald
on Sun 14 Aug 2005 03:28 PM EDT | Profile | Permanent Link
Hey Mark -
Just to add a bit more to what you've said: the enterprise numbers were great due to a PBX upgrade opportunity, but all other NT enterprise competitors had a good Q (e.g. Avaya, Cisco, Mitel and Aastra). On a separate thread, I also have suspciously low Technorati numbers - what is the issue with that? Re: Troubled Sunday Morning Thoughts About Nortel
by
Anonymous
on Sun 14 Aug 2005 04:44 PM EDT | Permanent Link
Regarding the statement that SG&A and R&D bothed climbed from Q2, 2004, that's incorrect. SG&A was $37M higher than one year ago, while R&D was $14M LOWER ($479M this year, vs. $493 last). The combined total for both was higher, but if that's what you meant to say, it's not clear.
As to your scrutiny of the $58M in other income, I don't think that this is something only found in the 10-Q, as the Nortel earnings press release clearly states the following: "Other income -- net was $58 million income for the second quarter of 2005, which primarily related to the gain on the sale of an investment of $21 million, the gain on a contract settlement of $17 million and interest income of $15 million." Re: Troubled Sunday Morning Thoughts About Nortel
by
Anonymous
on Mon 15 Aug 2005 07:59 AM EDT | Permanent Link
Mark - I think most investors/analysts just strip out anything that can be argued as a one time item. Based on that, NT made somewhere north of 3c EPS in Q2. That's definitely better than last year. The issues people seem to be talking about are 1) the software upgrade thing, and how much it boosted margins and 2) the backlog decline
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