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Mark Evans

the blog - examines the world of telecom  and  technology  from  a distinctly Canadian perspective.

the person - lives in Toronto, CA with  his  wife  and  three children, and  works  as director of community with PlanetEye Inc.
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View Article  Microsoft Pursuing Opera?
Is Bill Gates looking to buy some Opera for Christmas? The rumors are loudly rumbling that Microsoft is looking to bolster its browser technology by acquiring Opera, the third most-popular Web browser behind IE and Firefox. In theory, the deal makes sense because it will give Microsoft access to Opera's technology, which, in many ways, if superior to IE. It could - and I stress could - help Microsoft put a stop to the decline in IE's market share declines. As important, it would give Microsoft a stronger foothold in the mobile browser market where Opera has been thriving recently as it looks for growth beyond the desktop. On the other hand, a Microsoft-Opera deal would come as a surprise because Opera has worked so hard to establish itself in the browser market. The Norwegian company seems on the verge of participating in a vibrant and competitive browser market with the emergence of Firefox and new entrants such as Flock. At the same time, Opera has a pretty tight relationship with Google and it generates several million dollars by sending traffic to Google's search engine. As a result, it makes you wonder if Google would step into the fray and purchase Opera to create the much anticipated G-browser. What do you think Bill Gates would have to say if Google trumped him again in the wake of the $1-billion Google investment in AOL? The big questions facing Opera is: why sell and why sell to Microsoft? Perhaps money talks but it would be shame to see Opera disappear given the more competition there is in the browser better, the more likely we will see more innovation.
Update: One more thought about an Opera-Microsoft marriage. There is a history of animosity between the two companies over Microsoft's decision to make some MSN sites look bad if you were using Opera. When Opera threatened a lawsuit last year, Microsoft made it disappear with a $12-million payment.
For some other views on Opera-Microsoft, check out Jupiter analyst Michael Gartenberg and Mathew Ingram.
View Article  The New "Henry Blodget"?
I'd never heard of William Morrison, an analyst with JMP Securities, until this morning when I read he has raised his 12-month target price on Google to $575 from $400. Morrison became more bullish about Google following the AOL deal, which will give Google "multiple entrĂ©es into the branded market, which is important for the company's long term growth outlook." His bullishness and a dot-com company and willingness to throw out such an eye-catching number reminds me of Henry Blodget, who was a little-known analyst with CIBC Oppenheimer, until he boldly suggested in December 1998 that Amazon.com would hit $400. Within several weeks, Blodget's target was reached, and he was soon snapped by Merrill Lynch. (As an aside, Blodget wrote a column in January 1999 that "Unlike with other famous bubbles...the Internet bubble is riding on rock-solid fundamentals, perhaps stronger than any the market has seen before.") Perhaps Morrison is trying to be the next Henry Blodget by jumping out ahead of the pack to capture some attention. If Google rockets forward, then Morrison will be seen as prescient, his status within the analyst community will be enhanced, and he may land himself a new gig. Then again, stock price targets are strange beasts because in many cases they are based as much on emotion than fundamentals. If people believe a stock is going to hit a certain target because analysts issue specific targets, then investors will buy the stock - and it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Google is a no-lose opportunity for an analyst looking to make his mark. It's easily the dot-com play right now and the sky is the limit. If you ask me, hooking your future on a rising star doesn't seem to be that much of a gamble.
My blog has moved. Check out the new Mark Evans. It's part of my mini-blog empire that also includes All About Nortel and Twitterrati. You can subscribe to Mark Evans Tech by clicking on the RSS symbol above.
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