Another $250-million of private equity for Vonage? What happened to the much-anticipated IPO? According to the Wall St. Journal,
Vonage is using a five-year convertible-debt issue to raise the money.
Frankly, it seems like a strange turn of events for a company with IPO
or sale aspirations. It makes one question whether there was any
appetite for Vonage once potential investors got a look at its
books and took a hard look at the competitive landscape. Vonage CEO Jeff Citron,
who could sell ice to the Intuit Inuit, claims this new financing round
"really validates what we're doing", adding Vonage was originally
looking to raise $155-million but took more in the wake of strong
demand. Call me a skeptic, call me confused but I don't get the Vonage
story any more - and I don't get how this round really validates Vonage
more than the previous three rounds. I don't understand how Vonage can
raise its total
fund-raising to $655658-million and still expect to get a big-time return
in an
industry where competition is getting fierce and margins are understand
pressure. Maybe Vonage believes there's another eBay willing
to make a multi-billion dollar strategic gamble. A little
back-of-the-envelope math suggests Vonage has annual revenue of
$300-million to $420-million (1 million subscribers X $25 to $35 a
month). So what's that worth? One times sales? Two times sales? Three
times sales? If you take 8x8 Inc.'s valuation
of $126-million based on 93,000 subscribers, you could argue Vonage is
worth $1.3-billion - which strikes me as high. I think the $250-million
financing - if it actually materializes - simply buys Vonage more
time so it can improve the books to do an IPO or find a buyer. At this
point, what's a few more million dollars for investors who had already
chipped in $405-million?! Om Malik is also a standing member of the skeptics camp, dismissing a $2-billion valuation suggested by some analysts. Andy Abramson is also a charter member.
Update: The investors in the latest round include Bain Capital, New Enterprise Associates and Meritech Capital Partners.