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Mark Evans

the blog - examines the world of telecom  and  technology  from  a distinctly Canadian perspective.

the person - lives in Toronto, CA with  his  wife  and  three children, and  works  as director of community with PlanetEye Inc.
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View Article  8x8's Q2 results: Growth at Both Ends
Time for one of my favorite VoIP actives: deciphering 8x8 Inc.'s quarterly results. Let's start with the second quarter's top line: $7.1-million vs. $2.5-million a year earlier. Sounds good but the bottom line also expanded: a loss of $5.6-million vs. a loss of $5.1-million. The company said the red ink is due to growth into new markets such as the U.K. The question is whether adding 20K subscribers in the quarter (93K vs. 73K as of the end of Q1) is a good return on investment. Another burning question is how much gas 8x8 has left in the tank given it now has $19.7-million of cash compared with $24.9-million at the end of the first quarter. For 8x8, the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is Infonetics Research's forecast that there will be 24 million subscribers and $8.4-billion in VoIP revenue by 2008, compared with 1.1 million and $255-million respectively in 2004. The problem, however, is the cablecos (Time-Warner, Cablevision) are coming on strong while Vonage's market share has fallen to its lowest level in nine months, which is not the best thing for a company trying to a $600-million IPO. Click here to check out some the ominous things Infonetics analyst Kevin Mitchell told Om Malik recently about VoIP start-ups. By the way, investors seem underwhelmed by 8x8's results as the shares climbed one cent to $1.70.
 
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View Article  Rogers Cable Telephony Update
In posting its third-quarter results yesterday, Rogers Communications said it had cable telephony revenue of C$700K and operating costs of C$9.1 million. Rogers said is adding 10,000 customers/month and has an installation capacity, which includes a truck roll, of 500/day. Earlier this month, the company said it had 18,100 phone customers as of Sept. 30. There are signs - direction marketing - Rogers is starting to ramp up its efforts to get existing customers to use its phone service. The problem, however, is Rogers is still not competing on price, and the cost difference between its offer and Bell's prices is not enough to make it worth the hassle for many consumers.

View Article  Cisco's Giancarlo on Industry Consolidation
I had a chat yesterday with Cisco chief development officer Charlie Giancarlo, who talked about a variety of topics, including the recent unveiling of technology to link emergency services radios in a more cost-efficient way. With the $2-billion Ericsson-Marconi deal unveiled earlier in the day, I asked Giancarlo if this is an indication of much-needed industry consolidation among the larger equipment suppliers. Here's what he had to say:
"I don't think it's yet a sign of consolidation. We do need consolidation in the vendor business but Marconi has not been part of the tier-one environment. The industry, as you know, especially in the optical space, is over competetive at the moment. There are very few players that are profitable - Cisco in one, Juniper is another and others are only moderately profitable, and there probably needs to be greater consolidation."
Given Cisco's modus operandi, do not expect it to be the major industry consolidator. Instead, it will continue to make small but strategic acquisitions. If anyone's going to make a big move, look to Alcatel, Siemens or Nokia. There has been scuttlebutt about Alcatel buying Lucent and Nokia and Siemens looking at Nortel. I think a Nortel deal is unlikely - unless it receives a blow-away offer, what with Mike Zafirovski coming in as CEO next month. The board will likely give him a chance to execute a turnaround before it thinks of entertaining takeover offers. A good clue of Nortel's plans could be Zafirovski's compensation package, which includes five million restricted stock units and five million stock options. This suggests he needs some time to improve operations so Nortel's stock can rebound and make his package even more lucrative.


View Article  Find-o-Matic?
I wrote a column in the National Post (unfortunately, it's buried behind our walled garden) earlier this week looking at technology to address every day problems. One of my examples is using RFID technology to create a product to easily find lost keys and wallets. The idea is you an RFID chip on your keys and in your wallet, and when they're lost, you locate them by using a Find-o-Matic device that generates some of signal. I got plenty of feedback from people who love the idea. The question is whether something already exists. Is there a product out there that can do the job?
My blog has moved. Check out the new Mark Evans. It's part of my mini-blog empire that also includes All About Nortel and Twitterrati. You can subscribe to Mark Evans Tech by clicking on the RSS symbol above.
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